Omega Dubai Desert Classic 2015

Prize Fund – €2, 500, 000

Winner’s Share – €378,778

Course – Emirates Golf Club (7,316 yards par 72)

Our 2014 Picks – Thorbjørn Olesen (T5), Peter Hanson (MC), Stephen Gallacher (WON), Peter Uihlein (MC), Marcel Siem (T37), Mikko Ilonen (T5)

It’s been a baron start to the season on the profit front for DownThe18th. No excuses, it needs to get better. This week we find ourselves in the desert again, the scene of our first win of 2014 thanks to Stevie Gallacher. A happy hunting ground you could say.

A sublime field is lined up with McIlroy, Stenson and Kaymer leading the way. For Rory, this event brings back plenty of happy memories – his first win as a pro. And we have to mention Henrik Stenson who, towards the back end of last week, looked in superb touch. As always, we’re staying clear of the favourites and doing our best to find a bit of value.

Not the worst place to play golf - courtesy of suntimes

Not the worst place to play golf – courtesy of suntimes

There are a few things we noted from last season here: Gallacher, despite the obvious course form, came into the week hitting the ball nearly 300 yards off the tee and putting well. But for a poor 3rd round, the Scot also hit 3 rounds in the 60’s. Grillo and Koepka, who finished top 5, both played well the week previous but just couldn’t get the putter going. Rock and Webster have a liking for the course and the latter along with Mikko Ilonen contended in Qatar. So it’s certainly a mixed bag in terms of trends. One thing we do know – distance off the tee and course form is vital. You only have to look at Ernie Els’ history here and more recently Gallacher to tell you that. You need to find plenty of birdies too.

Another thing to think about is this – can you envisage your pick holding their nerve on a Sunday afternoon with Rory McIlroy and Henrik Stenson breathing down their neck. A likely scenario.

DON’T FORGET – Our weekly competition with renowned magazine Golf Monthly continues, take a peak at the end of our selections to see how our stakes have been distributed this time.

TwitterYou can follow us throughout the week on Twitter @downthe18th for the latest news, betting + banter. Please get in touch and let us know what you think of our picks and who you fancy as well!

Louis Oosthuizen (33/1 Bet Victor)

Who's who? - courtesy of golfdigest

Who’s who? – courtesy of golfdigest

The last thing we talked about in the preview, regarding holding their nerve, was the deciding factor in splitting between Louis and Bernd Wiesberger. As much as we admire the Austrian, getting over the line is still something we have our doubts about where he is concerned. He certainly caught our eye though.

The South African is someone that you actually forget how strongly he finished the 2014 calender year. 2nd, 7th, 6th, 14th and a 15th at the USPGA. That’s enough for us to think the Louis pre-injury is back. When he plays well he can do it on any track but ones where distance is beneficial off the tee, Louis does the business. He had consecutive top 10’s here in ’08 and ’09. After a 4 year absence, he’s back. We know when Louis plays well he’ll always give you a run for your money. 2015 could be his year.

Nicolas Colsaerts (50/1 Various)

'The Belgian Bomber'

‘The Belgian Bomber’

It perhaps looks a bit obvious that when we’ve highlighted distance off the tee, the Belgian gets his way to number 2 in our picks. But there is some substance behind it. 2014 was a write-off where Colsaerts was concerned, nothing went right. Despite that, at the end of the year we saw glimpses of the player that everyone thought could crack not only Europe but America too.

Perhaps we jumped the gun a bit picking him 2 weeks ago but now he’s had 8 solid rounds under his belt and his first top 15 for a while. Looking into his stats a bit last week you will be able to see he was 6th GIR, 14th accuracy and we don’t need to mention his distance. Very similar to Grillo and Koepka last year, all he needs to address is the putting. This is a driver’s track and when fairways are being found the putts tend to drop around here.

Thorbjørn Olesen (55/1 Stan James)

Loves this track

Loves this track

The Dane is someone who always seems to play his best stuff on the desert swing. Very similar to Colsaerts, Olesen had a relatively disappointing 2014 but finished it strongly. Last year he finished 3rd in Qatar and 5th here, arguably his highlight of the season.

So why this week? In truth, his MC last week and 50th the week before isn’t pretty but at the same time almost doubles his value – if he had contended last week you couldn’t have got more than 25’s. He is proven on this course with a 5th last year and 3rd in 2013 and we have already touched on how important course form is. As long as he brushes off the last couple of weeks and remembers the form he found at the back end of 2014 – this actually looks like great value.

Gregory Bourdy (100/1 Coral)

We have a lot of time for this photo

We have a lot of time for this photo

There were plenty of people who caught the eye on the final day of the Qatar Masters but the Frenchman looked like he was untouchable, especially for his front 9. Up until then, he hadn’t particularly impressed at all over the first 3 days. A couple of negatives to note are his lack of distance off the tee and putting for the majority of last week. If he continues where he left off from last week though, none of that will matter.

Has a best of 8th here a few years back and was 6th GIR and 4th accuracy in Qatar. We’re letting his final day performance influence us of course – but at 100/1, why not?

Outsiders

Darren Fichardt (175/1 Paddy Power)

As always we have a couple of names for you to throw a penny or two on. Fichardt was averaging 298yards off the tee (6th) and top 15 in putts per round and putts per GIR last week. This guy is certainly a player who won’t be phased contending with the big guns and 2014 saw him gain his highest finish around here, 13th.

Johan Carlsson (250/1 Stan James) (20/1 Top Ten)

We can see a big future for the Swede and his play for the most part last week only confirmed that more. He got plenty of birdies in Qatar, his first round 74 was the only disappointment. His play improved day by day and finished a very decent 13th. . And this guy can go long off the tee when he wants.

Golf Monthly £10 ChallengeGM_masthead-630x176

Every week we’re running a weekly betting competition on both Tours with esteemed magazine Golf Monthly.  It is a bit of fun between us and them to see who has the better tipsters!  We have £10 to put on each tournament and will write up a weekly post for their site detailing the horrors we are sure to endure throughout the year – so keep an eye out.

It will also (for the first time from us at DownThe18th) show some sort of staking plan we have for out bets.  Obviously, this isn’t the exact stakes we will put on our players, some weeks we won’t even enter a couple of our picks, but at least it can be shown roughly where our thoughts are money wise.

Our £10 against Golf Monthly will be as follows –

£1.90 e/w on Louis Oosthuizen at 30/1

£1.20 e/w on Nicolas Colsaerts at 50/1

£0.90 e/w on Thorbjørn Olesen at 50/1

£0.70 e/w on Gregory Bourdy at 90/1

£0.30 e/w on Darren Fichardt at 175/1

Each way bets ¼ odds for top 6 finish. Prices sourced from Paddy Power

Find the Golf Monthly Preview and their £10 picks here – (Link to be published)

Current Standings after 2 weeks

DownThe18th                                 Golf Monthly

European Tour: £-13                       European Tour:  £-10

PGA Tour: £-17.88                             PGA Tour: £64

Total: £-30.88                                   Total: £54

 

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Waste Management Phoenix Open 2015

Prize Fund – $6,300,000

47796aWinner’s Share – $1,134,000

Course – TPC Scottsdale (7,216 yards par 71)

Our 2014 Picks – Bubba Watson (T2), Hideki Matsuyama (T4), Marc Leishman (MC), Charley Hoffman (T61), Justin Leonard (MC)

It’s been another crazy week in the world of golf.  Revelations about Robert Allenby’s ‘kidnapping’ ordeal, John Daly and his smoking, diet coking fitness regime and Bill Haas showing us all he could have been a decent baseball player.  Gotta love it.

From a betting perspective, we’ve been unlucky again, missing out by a shot with Webb Simpson, whilst Oliver Fisher and George Coetzee couldn’t sustain their challenge in Europe.  So, we’re moving on with great confidence in that luck turning around in what is one of our absolute favourite tournaments in golf.

The Waste Management Phoenix Open captures the imagination every year mainly due to the wonderful host course that is the aptly named Stadium Course at TPC Scottsdale.  The only proper ‘stadium’ hole in the sport will face every player on the par 3 16th – cue madness, 20,000 fans screaming, caddie running and well, just downright ridiculousness.

The aerial view of one of the best holes in world golf

The aerial view of one of the best holes in world golf

The par 71 plays at 7,216 yards and ultimately tests every part of your game.  8 of the last 10 winners averaged in and around 300 yards off the tee, which shows the bigger hitters tend to do well here.  In fact only 1 of the top 11 averaged less than 300 yards last year.  There are reachable par 5s, the drivable par 4 17th and simply a greater opportunity for birdies when further down the fairway because the pins are far easier to attack.

However, GIR and all-round play near the greens will ultimately be the difference, as proven by Kevin Stadler in his victory last year.  His stats were ridiculously consistent across the board – 27th driving distance, 10th accuracy, 10th GIR and 17th putting average.

Scrambling and bunker play will come into it, we have seen it so often at Scottsdale, so no matter how consistent you are tee to green, there could be that 1 or 2 shot swing from the sand that makes the difference.

It will also be useful to look at birdie and general putting stats because the average winning score since the turn of the millennium is -18, which shows you do need to go low in order to compete here.

All in all, it’s a great showcase for the game, bringing it to a new audience and dramatising it in a completely different way, so it undeniably sits inside our top 5 favourite tournaments.  Sit back, enjoy and hopefully win some money!

DON’T FORGET – Our weekly competition with renowned magazine Golf Monthly continues, take a peak at the end of our selections to see how our stakes have been distributed this time.

TwitterYou can follow us throughout the week on Twitter @downthe18th for the latest news, betting + banter. Please get in touch and let us know what you think of our picks and who you fancy as well!

Ryan Palmer (33/1 various)

Ryan Palmer has every chance here. Courtesy of Amy Sancetta, Associated Press

Ryan Palmer has every chance here.
Courtesy of Amy Sancetta, Associated Press

Now, we have to admit the dilemmas we had over the number 1 berth in our plans.  We were so tempted by Phil Mickelson at 28s with Coral (he has since dropped though…) but we just didn’t know what to make of his form and early season tendencies.  It felt more of a decision ruled with heart over head.  So, we went with head.

That brought us over to Ryan Palmer.  He was simply an option that could not be ignored and he hasn’t ever really produced for us when staking, so that shows how good we think his chances are here this week.

Firstly, he has shown some superb glimpses of stellar golf in recent outings.  He hasn’t finished outside the top 22 in his last 4 starts and has shot a couple of very low scores.  We know the Franklin Templeton shootout isn’t classed as a Tour event, but he did record a 59 there, he then shot a 63 in Hawaii a couple of weeks back, moving onto the Humana Challenge where he went as low as 61 in his second round eventually going on to finish T10.

You might ask, well why hasn’t he won anything then and that is a question we’ve had to ponder.  His other rounds aren’t full of duffs and horribly high scores, but they haven’t quite matched up to the one round of genius.  But looking at his progressions over those 4 tournaments, they’re getting better, tighter and ultimately closer to a significant challenge for victory.

He will be coming onto a course where he’s played very well before, with a T5 and 2nd place finish in the past and it is a place that should suit his style.  He’s long off the tee, a cracking iron player, good around and on the greens and loves going low when in the mood.

The perfect player we talked about earlier – last year he was 23rd driving distance, 46th GIR, 35th strokes gained putting, 9th birdie average, 15th scoring average and 45th sand save percentage.

A real cracking prospect.

Harris English (40/1 various)

Harris showing the healthier 'John Daly Diet' option... Sam Greenwood/Getty Images North America

Harris showing the healthier ‘John Daly Diet’ option…
Sam Greenwood/Getty Images North America

Not one of the most obvious mid-range bets, but Harris English offers a lot considering what’s needed for this tournament.  He is one of the most consistent all-round players in the game, especially tee-to-green and this is the sort of track that should suit.

He finished T9 last year, but had a serious chance going into the final day.  Just 3 behind, he played some fine golf to get into the T3 position, but just like several others around him (the famous Bubba moment…) he had a pretty horrible Sunday shooting a 71.

A rare poor round, but over the course of the year, we feel he’s really improved as top golfer, so much so he nearly squeezed into a Ryder Cup place.

He’s been in fine form as well recently – a solid T30 finish last week, nothing spectacular, but the T3 and T2 finished that preceded it show it all.  A cracking performance in Hawaii, with 4 rounds in the 60’s.  He also shot a 57 and 62 at the shootout before Christmas, so he is in fine, fine fettle.

He’s 41st in driving distance, 13th GIR, 28th total putting, 8th scoring average and 15th scrambling.  The complete package.

Robert Streb (70/1 StanJames)

Robert Streb showing his delight at winning the McGladrey last year  Stephen B. Morton / Associated Press

Robert Streb showing his delight at winning the McGladrey last year
Stephen B. Morton / Associated Press

Now to be fair, 70/1 is a cracking price for a player who is actually currently 2nd in the FedEx Cup rankings.  That’s how well Robert Streb has been playing and how under the radar it’s been.

He’s played in 7 of the early tournaments, with the worst finish of T37, a win at the McGladrey Classic and 3 other top 10s.  That is some going.

On his last outing in Hawaii he finished T17, but showed his scoring prowess with an opening round of 63 and that will hold him in cracking stead for Scottsdale.  Admittedly he hasn’t played here before, but when you look at his all-round game, you can’t help but think he could be up there.

47th driving distance, 41st GIR, 14th strokes gained putting, 16th birdie average, 3rd scoring average, 16th sand-save percentage and 31st scrambling for 2015.  You can’t get better all-round stats than that.

Shawn Stefani (80/1 various)

Shawn Stefani showing his prowess off the tee Scott Halleran/Getty Images North America

Shawn Stefani showing his prowess off the tee
Scott Halleran/Getty Images North America

Whenever we’ve seen Shawn Stefani playing well, he is frighteningly long and straight off the tee – it sets up for the most attacking and potentially devastating style for courses like Scottsdale – last year was 6th for total driving (31st distance and 53rd accuracy.)

Much like Streb, he has had a fine start to the season, currently finding himself 11th in the FedEx Cup rankings.  2nd at Mayakoba, T6 in Hawaii and T15 at the Humana Challenge.  That’s some form.  He was inside the top 32 for distance and accuracy in all 3 tournaments, whilst he didn’t drop out the top 11 for GIR.

He is hitting the ball magnificently and we cannot tell you how dangerous he is when he’s in this sort of form.  He may have only played here once, going on to miss the cut, but we just have a sneaky feeling about him for this.

OUTSIDERS

Kevin Na (100/1 Coral) and Rory Sabbatini (125/1 Coral)

Two very cheeky outsiders this week in the form of Kevin Na and Rory Sabbatini.

Firstly, Na who hasn’t been playing particularly well to start off 2015, however you cannot look past that form he has here.  4 top 5’s in his last 9 outings and rarely does he play badly here.

Bizarre considering his lack of length off the tee, but he is a fine, fine player tee-to-green and around the greens.

Secondly, Rory Sabbatini has played here many times and not really penetrated the top 10, but he is squeaking into a bit of form and could challenge here.  He finished T7 at the shootout, recording a low round of 60 and on his way to a T6 at the Sony Open he shot a 64 and 64, which should have meant he challenged, but a 74 on the Friday put pay to that.

Even last week he finished T24, shooting a 63 and if he can get 4 rounds together, then you never know.

Golf Monthly £10 ChallengeGM_masthead-630x176

Every week we’re running a weekly betting competition on both Tours with esteemed magazine Golf Monthly.  It is a bit of fun between us and them to see who has the better tipsters!  We have £10 to put on each tournament and will write up a weekly post for their site detailing the horrors we are sure to endure throughout the year – so keep an eye out.

It will also (for the first time from us at DownThe18th) show some sort of staking plan we have for out bets.  Obviously, this isn’t the exact stakes we will put on our players, some weeks we won’t even enter a couple of our picks, but at least it can be shown roughly where our thoughts are money wise.

Our £10 against Golf Monthly will be as follows –

£2 e/w on Ryan Palmer at 33/1

£1.40 e/w on Harris English at 40/1

£1.10 e/w on Robert Streb at 66/1

£0.50 e/w on Shawn Stefani at 80/1

Each way bets ¼ odds for top 5 finish. Prices sourced from Paddy Power

Find the Golf Monthly Preview and their £10 picks here – (Link to be published)

Current Standings after 2 weeks

DownThe18th                                 Golf Monthly

European Tour: £-13                       European Tour:  £-10

PGA Tour: £-17.88                             PGA Tour: £64

Total: £-30.88                                   Total: £54

Commercial Bank Qatar Masters 2015

qatar_masters_logo

Prize Fund – €2, 500, 000

Winner’s Share – €353, 257

Course – Doha Golf Club (7,400 yards par 72)

Our 2014 Picks – Rafael Cabrera-Bello (T3), Thomas Aiken (T5), Stephen Gallacher (T28), Hennie Otto (T37), Andy Sullivan (MC)

A pretty poor start from us on both sides of the Atlantic last week, so we’re itching to get things back on track – admittedly bottles from Martin Kaymer and Tim Clark at a combined final day total of +7 don’t help anyone…

Moving swiftly on and we’re into the second of this Persian Gulf tri-series of events, now in Qatar.  The Doha Golf Club hosts the Commercial Bank Qatar Masters for the 17th time, which certainly helps all of us from a betting sense.

Since 2006, the lowest winning score has been -14 by Thomas Bjørn in 2011 and we’ve seen the likes of Adam Scott reach -20 (08′), so there is plenty of scoring to be had here.

The par 72 course plays at a deceivingly long 7,400 yards, which on paper makes it look like a bombers track.  Now, you cannot deny you will need distance here, but you won’t need to be prodigiously long that’s for sure.  If you look at recent winners, there is length yes, but it is not bombing galore –

Sergio Garcia – 295.225

Chris Wood – 295.2

Paul Lawrie – 299

Thomas Bjørn – 281.85

Whilst if you have a look at the GIR stats from those same years, you can see it’ll be important to get the irons working.  This is the average position they were for GIR amongst the field –

Sergio Garcia – 33.25

Chris Wood – 15

Paul Lawrie – 11

Thomas Bjørn – 8.75

All this shows that it will be key to hit the ball a fair distance, but be a players whose irons are fluid and consistent, you can even just tell that by those 4 names above.  There is plenty of water along the fairways and around the greens, hence why that accuracy is important – especially on 3 out of the 4 par 3’s where there’s daunting water to contend with.

The exposed fairways are eye-catching but were tightened a couple of years back with the rough coming in, hence why players like Alvaro Quiros who won in 2009 haven’t fared so well since.

We are in for an interesting tournament, with the likes of Garcia, Stenson, Justin Rose and Charl Schwartzel making the trip over, so after plenty of deliberation, this is where our money is going…

DON’T FORGET – Our weekly competition with renowned magazine Golf Monthly continues, take a peak at the end of our selections to see how our stakes have been distributed this time.

TwitterYou can follow us throughout the week on Twitter @downthe18th for the latest news, betting + banter. Please get in touch and let us know what you think of our picks and who you fancy as well!

Charl Schwartzel (22/1 Coral)

Hopefully Charl can finally produce for us!

Hopefully Charl can finally produce for us!

If you’ve followed us over the past 18 months or so, you will know how we feel about Charl Schwartzel.  He has rarely made it into our plans simply because we are unable to trust him with the putter (mainly in recent times) and when we have gone there, he’s been sublime tee to green but once again failed with the short stick.  Now that is highly frustrating.

However, our heads were swayed for a couple of putting reasons.  Firstly, in his last 3 outings here he bounced around the 7th-25th positions for putting average on all 4 days of each tournament.  That shows he had an eye for the contours and green structures.

Secondly and more importantly, he has been putting very, very well in the past couple of weeks.  He finished T9 last week, averaging 3rd for putting stats at the weekend, whilst his playoff defeat the week before he didn’t leave the top 15 in putting for the final 3 days.

That encourages us so much to think he could be getting some sort of rhythm going.  Yes, there was a 5-shot bottle from him in that defeat to Andy Sullivan in South Africa and you can’t help but be worried about that, however it doesn’t take away from how well he played on the whole.  It also didn’t effect him the week after when he made another top 10, so hopefully it’s out his system because this is a track that should suit him down the ground with his length, iron play and apparent increase in putting ability.

Not a bet for the feint-hearted, but a solid 22/1 nonetheless.

Alexander Levy (35/1 Coral)

What a player this lad is turning out to be

What a player this lad is turning out to be

What a year Alexander Levy has had.  We’ve followed him with great intrigue since he won us some healthy returns when he finished 2nd at the BMW Masters.  Then we went to the French and got to witness him first hand.  He may have gone on to have a shocking Sunday, completely dropping out of the running, but so did most players that day and we were in awe of his charisma, unflappability and all-round game.

Tee to green, on his day, he is a monster.  Throughout 2014, he was 14th for driving distance and 28th for GIR.  Combining that brute force is deadly for a course like this.  Admittedly he’s only played here once and that was when he missed the cut last year, but we are taking that with a pinch of salt.  He is a different animal now and confidence/form are two attributes you cannot underestimate.

Just look at Victor Dubuisson – he missed the cut horrifically 2 years in a row for the Abu Dhabi, but went on to finish T4 last week.  When you build up that rhythm, style and arrogance, you can attack courses completely differently.  And that is what we feel Levy will do here.

He gave in a solid performance last week to finish T20.  He had a pretty poor final day 74, but the previous 3 days there was some top quality golf.  He looked like he’d be in the hunt at one point.

Basically, the Frenchman has everything to go far and we will not be surprised if this is another defining year for him.

George Coetzee (55/1 StanJames)

An interesting mid-range bet comes in the form of George Coetzee.  He has all the tools to play some fantastic tee-to-green golf, all be it he can at times not show it.

He has seemed to of lost some of his length over the past couple of years, but he still averages over 290 yards, which will suit the track.  His iron game hasn’t been as great as we would expect in recent weeks, but he will be coming onto a course where he has played magnificently in the past couple of years.

He shot a gorgeous 64 in the 1st round last year to take an early lead, but a 73 on the Saturday cost him a probable win.  The other 3 rounds were of top quality and when you think he only finished 2 behind playoff winner Garcia, you can’t help but wonder what could’ve been.

Then, as we remember so well, he almost pushed Wood over the line to force a playoff in 2013.  We had him that year and the 65 he shot on the Sunday meant he was so close.  He propelled up the leaderboard into 2nd and if he can replicate that sort of form, he will have a chance again.

We do have a good record with the South African as well – he won for us at the Joburg Open last year to go alongside that 2nd place.

Thomas Aiken (80/1 various)

Don't forget the club...

Don’t forget the club…

Weirdly enough, to follow on from Coetzee, we had Thomas Aiken at both the same Qatar Masters and Joburg Open and he got us returns finishing T5 in both.  Weird, weird, weird omens to start off there…

The second South African on our list has the perfect game for this track.  He averages the ball at 295 yards, is straight and has an unbelievable iron game.  He was 1st for GIR throughout 2014, 68th driving distance and 8th driving accuracy.  That is one meaty combination.

We know he missed the cut last week, but he showed his true game in South Africa the event before, where he finished T5.  He was consistently inside the top 30 for all the key stats for the final 3 days and because he’s coming onto a course where he’s had a couple of top 10s in the past, he should be full of confidence.

A solid player for the odds he’s at.

Oliver Fisher (150/1 Coral)

Our final pick and big outsider is the highly talented Oliver Fisher.  The young Englishman has a similar game to Aiken, in that he is consistent across the board tee to green.

He has never found a top 10 here admittedly, although he came close with a T11 in 2007, but we are intrigued by his recent under the radar form and type of game that should theoretically suit the track that’s had it’s changes since he last played here.

Last week he finished T12 and he was playing some very decent golf.  He found himself inside the top 8 on the final 3 days for driving distance and barring an indifferent opening round, was solidly inside the top 20 for GIR.  His putter worked here and there, but the idea of him putting more of it together over the 4 days here excites us and is certainly worth a punt at 150s.

_______________________________________________________

Golf Monthly £10 ChallengeGM_masthead-630x176

We will be running a weekly betting competition on both Tours with esteemed magazine Golf Monthly.  It is a bit of fun between us and them to see who has the better tipsters!  We have £10 to put on each tournament and will write up a weekly post for their site detailing the horrors we are sure to endure throughout the year – so do keep an eye out.

It will also (for the first time from us at DownThe18th) show some sort of staking plan we have for out bets.  Obviously, this isn’t the exact stakes we will put on our players, some weeks we won’t even enter a couple of our picks, but at least it can be shown roughly where our thoughts are money wise.

So, for this Commercial Bank Qatar Masters our £10 against Golf Monthly will be as follows –

£3 win on Charl Schwartzel at 16/1

£1.60 e/w on Alexander Levy at 33/1

£1 e/w on George Coetzee at 50/1

£0.45 e/w on Thomas Aiken at 80/1

£0.45 e/w on Oliver Fisher at 150/1

Each way bets ¼ odds for top 5 finish. Prices sourced from Paddy Power

Find the Golf Monthly Preview and their £10 picks here – (http://www.golf-monthly.co.uk/news/tour-news/qatar-masters-golf-betting-guide-2-64390)

Current Standings after 1 weeks

DownThe18th                                 Golf Monthly

European Tour: £-3                       European Tour:  £0

PGA Tour: £-7.88                             PGA Tour: £-10

Total: £-10.88                                   Total: £-10

Humana Challenge 2015

Print

Prize Fund – $5,700,000

Winner’s Share – $1,026,000

Courses – PGA West Nicklaus Course (6,924 yards par 72)

PGA West Palmer Course (6,950 yards par 72)

La Quinta Country Club(7,060 yards par 72)

Our 2014 Picks – Keegan Bradley (T18), Ryan Palmer (2nd), Gary Woodland (T38), Nicolas Colsaerts (MC), Kevin Chappell (T58)

It’s been a week where injuries have dominated the golfing headlines with Robert Allenby’s extreme ordeal and Tiger Woods getting himself into a spot of bother while watching the other half, losing a front tooth in the process. That’s what his agent said anyway. Aside from this, the PGA Tour keeps on going in Hawaii for the Humana Challenge.

This event is the pinnacle of ‘birdie fests’ as we like to call them. You will struggle to find an event on tour this year that will not see as many birdies. The winning scores of Reed (-28), Gay (-25) and Wilson (-24) give you a feel for what’s to come. And Reed’s total of -28 came with a final round 71. It’s a fun one for the guys out there though with the pro-am format over 3 different courses, all of which are pretty easy to navigate.

courtesy of humanachallenge

courtesy of humanachallenge

A key thing to note and look at is the slight trend in people coming in with a good finish or at least a low round in their locker from the week before. And it makes sense, your game needs to be in good shape if you’re going to shoot 30+ birdies. Even looking at Reed last year who, despite not playing in the Sony Open, came T16 at the Tournament of Champions 2 weeks prior. It’s a trend that could be said of every event but in something like the Humana with the different courses, pro-am format and low-scoring – you need to hit the ground running from the first tee and a good week prior could make all the difference.

The yardage to really have a look at is 150-175 and for a lot of these guys they will make this look like a pitch and putt. But someone who has a healthy scoring average, loves a birdie or three and is in the grove with the putter will ultimately find themselves at the top end of the leaderboard come Sunday afternoon.

DON’T FORGET – Our weekly competition with renowned magazine Golf Monthly continues, take a peak at the end of our selections to see how our stakes have been distributed this time.

TwitterYou can follow us throughout the week on Twitter @downthe18th for the latest news, betting + banter. Please get in touch and let us know what you think of our picks and who you fancy as well!

Webb Simpson (40/1 Stan James)

What can he do with the new putter? - courtesy of golfdigest

What can he do with the new putter? – courtesy of golfdigest

To say our number 1 spot has been deliberated over is an understatement and we’ll talk you through our problems. The 3 way battle was between Simpson, Bradley and Palmer. Simply, Palmer at 25/1 was just too short – we often feel uneasy going Palmer at 40/1. And then Bradley; the new putter and little tournament play was enough for us to say no – again, best price was 30/1. So, Webb Simpson.

Like Bradley he also has changed to a new putter and last week at one point he looked like he could get things done after starting 62, 66. Although Bradley had an impressive 3rd at the Hero World Challenge, Webb gave us concrete evidence things are working just fine with the swing and putter. Stats-wise, as most of the top boys are, the American is all over them. Birdies, par 5’s and even 150-175, Webb was 16th in that yardage for the whole of 2014.

Of the 3 this was the best bet but by no means would we put anyone off chucking a bit of their account on Palmer.

Jerry Kelly (80/1 Paddy Power)

You all know the drill with this picture

You all know the drill with this picture

2 weeks on the spin with Jezza, not something we could have envisaged at the start of our season. But quite simply, he fits the bill. A very respectable T6 last week at the Sony where he ranked 2nd in putting average behind eventual winner Jimmy Walker. Before the winter break Kelly went 5th, 22nd showing time away from tournament play did him no harm. The Humana has never been harsh on the American either, 8th being his best finish in recent times adding to a couple of top 15 finishes over the last 4 years.

Lies 22nd total birdies, 15th scoring average and 17th 1 putt %. Shot a 62 last week at the Sony which shows Kelly’s game is right there to go out and grab plenty more birdies.

Jason Kokrak (80/1 Bet365)

He knows how to drive a ball - courtesy of golfwrx

He knows how to drive a ball – courtesy of golfwrx

The big-hitting American is a perfect match for this track and when you consider his form, excluding the winter break, it reads 20th, 16th and 17th. Now is the time to push on from those finishes. For someone moving into his 4th year on the PGA Tour, Kokrak needs a year where not only does he find more consistency but adds big-money finishes to his game. He still only has 2 top 3 finishes to date. Knowing this, one of his highlights was the T8 he got here a couple of years ago, finishing 3 shots off Brian Gay. And that was with a pair of 69’s in rounds 2 and 3.

So with improved consistency and bags of experience, could this week finally be the one. He ranked 21st last week in putting and for the season is T14 total birdies and 15th 1 putt %. And with his prodigious distance off the tee, we know the par 5’s out there will be his for the taking.

Paul Casey (80/1 Coral)

A bit like Webb Simpson, Casey started like a train last week with a 62 and the first round lead. But of all people, his average play over the weekend will not make him despondent. It’s been a while since the Englishman has challenged in this calibre of event and the 62 will give him so much confidence.

The Humana is new to Paul and the fresh outlook on the 3 courses almost gives him an advantage. It’s not uncommon for people who haven’t played here or even made the cut the before to go on and win. And then when you look at the numbers, for someone at these odds, we’re impressed. Last week he was 10th GIR and 19th putting. In 2014, Casey ranked 1st in 150-175 birdie or better % and was 26th scoring average, 31st par 5 birdie or better. He’s undoubtably in good touch, now it’s time to get back to winning ways on the PGA Tour.

Daniel Summerhays (80/1 Paddy Power)

More smiles please Daniel - courtesy of supersports

More smiles please Daniel – courtesy of supersports

Our final pick and one which we’re as confident in as much as the rest. A mixture of solid play last week (66, 67, 67 for his first 3 rounds) and some interesting reading on the stats made us really happy with the American. He’s often a name you will see up there in these shoot-out, low scoring events and when you look into it you can see why. For 2014 he looked like this – 49th scoring average, 22nd total birdies, 9th strokes gained putting (31st in 2015) and 22nd 150-175 yards. There’s not a bad word we can say about him. Of course there are similar quality players at this sort of price but he is a guy who when he wins on the PGA Tour, it will be one of these events.

He was also 5th GIR last week – he just needs the putter to get hot in Hawaii.

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Golf Monthly £10 ChallengeGM_masthead-630x176

Every week we’re running a weekly betting competition on both Tours with esteemed magazine Golf Monthly.  It is a bit of fun between us and them to see who has the better tipsters!  We have £10 to put on each tournament and will write up a weekly post for their site detailing the horrors we are sure to endure throughout the year – so keep an eye out.

It will also (for the first time from us at DownThe18th) show some sort of staking plan we have for out bets.  Obviously, this isn’t the exact stakes we will put on our players, some weeks we won’t even enter a couple of our picks, but at least it can be shown roughly where our thoughts are money wise.

So, for this Humana Challenge our £10 against Golf Monthly will be as follows –

£1 win on Ryan Palmer at 25/1

£1.75 e/w on Webb Simpson at 33/1

£0.90 e/w on Jerry Kelly at 80/1

£0.85 e/w on Jason Kokrak at 66/1

£0.75 e/w on Daniel Summerhays at 80/1

£0.50 win on Paul Casey at 66/1

Each way bets ¼ odds for top 6 finish. Prices sourced from Paddy Power

Find the Golf Monthly Preview and their £10 picks here – (http://www.golf-monthly.co.uk/news/tour-news/humana-challenge-golf-betting-guide-2-64484)

Current Standings after 1 weeks

DownThe18th                                 Golf Monthly

European Tour: £-3                       European Tour:  £0

PGA Tour: £-7.88                             PGA Tour: £-10

Total: £-10.88                                   Total: £-10

 

Sony Open 2015

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Prize Fund – $5,600,000

Winner’s Share – $1,008,000

Course – Waialae Country Club (7,044 yards par 70)

Our 2014 Picks – Zach Johnson (T8), Chris Kirk (2nd), Charles Howell III (T8)

2014 begins for us and most of the PGA Tour this week as a strong fields heads (or just stays from last week) to Hawaii for the Sony Open.

Patrick Reed continued his rise to the top of golf with his win at the Hyundai last week – a victory that puts him in the elite category alongside Tiger Woods, Rory McIlroy and Sergio Garcia as the only players to have won 4 PGA titles before the age of 24 and a half.  That’s one hell of a ssshhh to every doubter out there…

The course that hosts this tournament is the Waialae Country Club and we always feel that it’s a nice start for punters alike to get stuck into mainly because it’s been held there since 1965 so there’s plenty of form to feast our money-hunting eyes at.

The 7,044 yard par 70 has traditionally seen a complete variable in scores, usually depending on the conditions.  Due to it being a coastal track, the wind can really get up and that’s where you see those low teens final scores.  However this week we are expecting quite mild weather, so we should be in for a treat on the birdie front.  We can see it being similar to last year, where Jimmy Walker won by a shot with -17.  Basically, you have to be someone who has the ability of attacking pins and finding low scores – but you cannot look past the fact that it is a tight track with small greens and we’ve often seen those tee-to-green gurus play well here.

Gorgeous settings for the week...

Gorgeous settings for the week…

Admittedly in recent years the rough has been shortened therefore playing into the hands of longer hitters, but that hasn’t stopped the fact that finding fairways will without doubt help you in the following shot into the green.

The ranking in difficulty has decreased in recent years, falling 8 places since 2012 and that coincides with the irregularities we’ve seen in winners compared to usual – long hitter Jimmy Walker – although he started to come into some outrageous tee to green form – Russell Henley in 2012 who won with a score of -24 and had never even played here before!

Still we do feel it would be foolish to look away from players who’ve done well here and in fact tee’d it up recently.  With it being the first ‘proper’ tournament back for many of the field, there will be rustiness with many of the players and that is to be expected.  It is always useful to look into those that have not taken a long time off from the game, because the practicalities of them winning is very minimal.

Enough of the spiel though, let’s get to our 1st picks of 2015, hoping to continue what was a good year for us in 2014.  Also read right to the bottom for news of a brand spanking new competition we are doing throughout the year with some well-known friends…

TwitterDon’t forget to follow us throughout the week on Twitter @downthe18th for the latest news, betting + banter. Please get in touch and let us know what you think of our picks and who you fancy as well!
Chris Kirk (18/1 various)

Chris Kirk, a smiling hero

Chris Kirk, a smiling hero

Got to admit we struggled to decide between Chris Kirk, Zach Johnson and Russell Henley.  All three came in at similar odds and have pros and pluses against them.  We opted out on Henley mainly for price but also because we felt he challenged too much last week and could have taken it out of him.  Zach should have done much better than his 7th placed finish, but suffered in the 3rd round.

So, we decided upon Kirk.  What a fine, fine player he has become over the past year – so much so that he nearly edged his way into the Ryder Cup team.  But there were too many ticks against him and when you think the only negative is the fact he’s 18s, it just wasn’t enough to ignore him.

He looked highly impressive on Monday shooting a 62 with a new putter – so much so that he finished 6th for putting average for the whole week. It clearly worked absolute wonders for him and we know there was a couple of poor rounds at the weekend, but we’re putting that down to rustiness.  You’re definitely hitting it well and happy with you’re all round game if your can shoot a score that low.

In fact after the game he stated how in tune he felt, especially with his short game and that is something that will be very important throughout the week here.  He has also previously mentioned that Waialae (and Colonial) are his 2 favourites tracks and the ones he looks forward to playing the most in the calendar year.  Now that is saying something.  You cannot underestimate how important it is for a golfer to really enjoy and get a buzz when teeing it up on the 1st of a tournament.

He’s finished 2nd and 5th in the previous 2 outings here and we all know how impressive he is tee to green when his game is on.  He ticks all the boxes for seaside golf as we’ve mentioned before, so don’t be put off by his price, he is definitely worth backing this week.

Luke Donald (40/1 Coral)

Time for some success from the Englishman

Time for some success from the Englishman

When you come across these shorter, tight tracks that require a really strong tee to green game, you do often look to see if a. Luke Donald is there and b. what sort of form he is in.  We have to mention b because as it’s been widely mentioned, his 2014 was very, very forgettable.

He’s dropped outside the top 30 for the first time since climbing to the top of the rankings a couple of years back and has at times looked completely out of sorts.  However as we all know he’s been working on a new swing and a new outlook, mainly to try and get some extra length off the tee.  Understandable in some ways, but in the grand scheme of things, that shouldn’t halt the rest of your game.

We had him during his best performance at the RBC when he came 2nd and to be honest the main reasons it clicked were because he found more accuracy than most weeks – 25th in driving accuracy and 3rd for GIR – compared to 67th and 139th respectively across the season.

BUT and here is the big but, there’s something brewing from his camp in recent weeks and we just have a sneaky feeling (and we don’t think we’re the only ones) that there is a revival on the horizon.  He shot a scintillating 63 the Nedbank Challenge a few weeks back to finish 3rd and he said that he was extremely pleased with where his game was and is feeling as confident as he’s done for a long while.  It may all be a load of hock, but we do feel that is a positive vibe from the Englishman.

As for the Sony Open, this is a track that clearly fits the bill for Donald when he’s playing well and should suit his eye perfectly.  He hasn’t played here for a while, but did finish 2nd in 2007, which should give him plenty of hope.

A big season is needed and what a time and place this would be start.

Tim Clark (40/1 PaddyPower)

One of the best ball strikers in the game

One of the best ball strikers in the game

Another absolute guru tee to green, Tim Clark has found some long lost form over the past few months and will be coming into the 2015 season with high hopes.

He finished superbly in a tie for 2nd at the HSBC during the back end of 2014 and he was 7th at the Nedbank a few weeks later.  Admittedly he didn’t have the greatest week in his finish of 25th last week, but his positives completely out way that sort of negative.

He started putting well whilst playing on his own on Monday (having found himself stone cold bottom!) and he is a fantastic bermuda greens player.  He has a wonderful record here – taking out the withdrawal last year, he finished 2nd twice in a row – and has top 5s on the comparative Sea Island and PGA West courses.

He has the 4th best scoring average at Waialae in the field and simply loves it here, never finishing outside the top 25, so when you think how impressive he can be tee to green, the South African is cracking value at 40s.

 Jerry Kelly (75/1 Bet365)

Raw passion from Kelly!

Raw passion from Kelly!

Now, we are expecting quite a few to be jumping on Jerry Kelly and understandably so.  He represents cracking value, has insane course form and is playing well at the moment.  Basically the perfect pick.

In fact since the name and sponsor change in 1999, Kelly has found 9 top 13s, including a win in 2002 and two T3 finishes.  He simply loves this track.  But he finished 2014 very strongly, coming T5 in the franklin Templeton shootout with Steve Stricker and 5th at Mayakoba the week before.

He seems to be putting well at the moment and there are few better tee to green players than Kelly Stateside – however ridiculous that statement sounds, if you’ve seen him you will only be able to agree.

OUTSIDERS

Robert Allenby (150/1 various) and Boo Weekley (90/1 StanJames)

Our first two outsiders of the year come in the form of Robert Allenby and Boo Weekley. Both have been playing well in the close season and with their tee to green abilities could upset the applecart come Sunday in Hawaii.

Firstly Allenby.  He is an absolute stalwart in the world of golf and has a very decent record here.  2nd in 2010, 8th in 07′ and 4th in 2003.  He has been playing superbly tee to green so far this season on the PGA Tour – 32nd in strokes gained tee to green, 23rd driving accuracy and 15th GIR.  The sort of stats you would expect from a seasoned pro.  Plus the trip back to his native Australia ended with 3 finishes inside the top 13 – T13 at the Australia PGA, T7 at the Australian Open and T9 at the BetEasy Masters.

We aren’t denying the standard is nowhere near that of the PGA Tour but you have to be encouraged by his form and you would be a fool to think he hasn’t got a chance.

Secondly the bizarre talent of Weekley.  We all know his prowess tee to green on his day – currently 8th for strokes gained tee to green – but we also know how poor he can be with the putter.  That has shown signs of improvement in recent outings though which gave us encouragement for a tournament where he has finished T9 before in 2009.

He finished T15 at the Australian Open and 6th at the Australian PGA whilst most interestingly he was 2nd at the Sanderson Farms Championship before the New Year and on those Bermuda greens, he was 6th for strokes gained putting.  Food for thought.

_______________________________________________________

Golf Monthly £10 ChallengeGM_masthead-630x176

Now, as we mentioned earlier, we will be running a weekly betting competition on both Tours with esteemed magazine Golf Monthly.  It is a bit of fun between us and them to see who has the better tipsters!  We have £10 to put on each tournament and will write up a weekly post for their site detailing the horrors we are sure to endure throughout the year – so do keep an eye out.

It will also (for the first time from us at DownThe18th) show some sort of staking plan we have for out bets.  Obviously, this isn’t the exact stakes we will put on our players, some weeks we won’t even enter a couple of our picks, but at least it can be shown roughly where our thoughts are money wise.

So, for this Sony Open our £10 against Golf Monthly will be as follows –

£3 win on Chris Kirk at 18/1

£1 e/w on Luke Donald at 40/1

£1 e/w on Tim Clark at 40/1

£0.75 e/w on Jerry Kelly at 75/1

£0.75 e/w on Robert Allenby at 150/1

Find the Golf Monthly Preview and their £10 picks here – (Golf Monthly Betting Preview)

Current Standings after 0 weeks

DownThe18th – £0

Golf Monthly   – £0

Abu Dhabi HSBC Golf Championship 2015

Abu Dhabi 2Prize Fund€2, 700, 000

Winner’s Share€379, 798

CourseAbu Dhabi Golf Course (7,600 yards par 72)

Our 2014 Picks – Martin Kaymer (31st), Branden Grace (52nd), Paul Casey (65th), Peter Uihlein (MC)

After a much needed Winter break away from previewing, we’re back with more puns about Colin Montgomerie than ever before.

Abu Dhabi, although on paper isn’t the start of the European Tour season, feels like it’s exactly that with the field and prize fund on offer. McIlroy, Rose, Stenson and even Rickie Fowler have made the trip over. It also means there is a bit of early-season value to be had with the likes of Dubuisson and Schwartzel being pushed down to the 40/1 mark as a result.

With it being so early in the season and players still running off the Christmas turkey, we wouldn’t advise putting your mortgage on anyone that is for sure. People do tend to come from nowhere and the next few weeks will be all about gauging who’s had the best pre-season.

Modern golf at its best - courtesy of abudhabievents

Modern golf at its best – courtesy of abudhabievents

But what do we know? Well the course is one where a previous top 10 does tend to lead into many more. McIlroy has finished in the top 5 on 5 of the last 6 times he has teed it up here (another reason not to be putting your mortgage on anyone). Kaymer went 1st, 2nd, 1st, 1st from 2009 while Coetzee, Bello, Olesen, Jimenez and A.Hansen have all finished in the top 10 on more than 1 occasion. Instantly, given their 2014 campaigns, we know Kaymer, McIlroy and probably even Rose given his 2nd in 2013 will be sniffing around the top of the leaderboard come Sunday.

At 7,600 yards the Abu Dhabi Golf Course is a long one but as long as you drive the ball over 290 on average, it won’t be as daunting as the length suggests. You can see from the previous winners, Donaldson, Kaymer, Casey and even Larrazabal on his day, you need to be a solid driver of the ball but possess an array of shots from the fairway when needed too.

Key points will be to have a solid week on the firm greens, above average distance off the tee, avoiding the various water hazards and a very healthy GIR%.

TwitterDon’t forget to follow us throughout the week on Twitter @downthe18th for the latest news, betting + banter. Please get in touch and let us know what you think of our picks and who you fancy as well!
Pablo Larrazabal (80/1 Various)

We all remember this don't we?!

We all remember this don’t we?!

Our regular followers will not be surprised by this, our first pick of 2015. Although he is one of our favourite golfers, we haven’t got our blinkers on with this one. For starters, he’s the defending champ here and won’t be giving up that trophy without a fight. Having Phil Mickelson and Rory McIlroy finish runner-up to you will give anyone confidence. And it’s confidence that the Spaniard thrives on – last year’s win, his 3rd of his career, looked like it could kick-start a big 2014 but things never really reached the same heights again.

Pablo’s passion and ability is right up there with the best of them and his biggest flaw would arguably be his consistency. But this course has proven that success breeds more success and even if one of the favourites do eventually win this, Pablo is sure to put up one hell of fight. He finished off 2014 with 4 top 20’s in 6 starts including 16th at the season-ending Tour Championship so no negatives can be said about his form. But as we say, the lottery of early season events is there for all to see. He has the game and confidence for this course and at 80/1 we’ll jump all over that.

Thomas Aiken (100/1 Bet Victor)

aikenFellow South African Branden Grace was someone who featured prominently in our research but at 40/1 with guys below him in the market was enough for us to turn our backs on him. So, we turn to fellow countryman Thomas Aiken at over double the price. There has been the slightest of trends recently here with people coming over from South Africa having posting a couple of tasty rounds. Jamie Donaldson and Robert Rock would be two of those. So it’s only fair we have a punt on Aiken who not only fits our profile but comes in with a nice bit of form after a 5th place last week.

It was around this time last year he built up a head of steam which culminated in a win at the Africa Open and it proved how he is someone who plays well in streaks. And despite the Winter break, his 5th last week followed on from a 16th and 4th that ended his 2014. So the form is there and judging by his stats last week – 6th GIR, 302 yards driving distance and 2nd driving accuracy, his game is too. As we always say, the putter will need to improve but that will come with the confidence of last week’s finish.

Tyrrell Hatton (80/1 Paddy Power)

courtesy of Bollington

courtesy of Bollington

The Winter break brings with it uncertainty as we have said. But one guarantee that does give us is that people at high prices will do well. It’s proven. So next up, Englishman Hatton. Apart from his name, he has all the tools to make a nice career for himself on the European Tour. He came from almost nowhere last year and eventually finished 36th in the Race to Dubai, not bad for a rookie.

What surprised us the most was the quick start he made last year. He was T10 here, T22 Qatar and then 2nd over in South Africa. A man with confidence it’s safe to say. His putting was standout on this track last year but over the past 12 months his game has come on in all areas. A 10th last year in his 3rd event as a European Tour regular – what can he produce now?

Nicolas Colsaerts (70/1 Stan James)

Rounding off our first week of European Tour picks is the Belgian bomber. 2014 was a year he probably won’t look back on with the grandchildren but his end to the season with his 2nd in Portugal in particular shows the character and resilience this man has. When all facets of his game are working, Abu Dhabi Golf Course will be right up his street.

2015 is a year where Colsaerts puts himself back on the radar, he believes that and so do we. He comes to Abu Dhabi after a 2 year break from the event which again sends out a signal of intent from the off. This is perhaps more of a hunch than our other 3 but golf is a funny game, sometimes the storylines just write themselves.

Let us know your thoughts on our selections and who you fancy this week! @DownThe18th

_______________________________________________________

Golf Monthly £10 ChallengeGM_masthead-630x176

And here’s one our new exciting features for 2015. We will be running a weekly betting competition on both Tours with esteemed magazine Golf Monthly.  It is a bit of fun between us and them to see who has the better tipsters!  We have £10 to put on each tournament and will write up a weekly post for their site detailing the horrors we are sure to endure throughout the year – so do keep an eye out.

It will also (for the first time from us at DownThe18th) show some sort of staking plan we have for out bets.  Obviously, this isn’t the exact stakes we will put on our players, some weeks we won’t even enter a couple of our picks, but at least it can be shown roughly where our thoughts are money wise.

So, for this Abu Dhabi Championship our £10 against Golf Monthly will be as follows –

1.25 e/w on Pablo Larrazabal at 80/1

£0.75 e/w on Thomas Aiken at 100/1

£1 e/w on Tyrrell Hatton at 80/1

£1.50 e/w on Nicolas Colsaerts at 70/1

£1 win on Martin Kaymer at 15/1

Find the Golf Monthly Preview and their £10 picks here – Golf Monthly Betting Guide

Current Standings after 0 weeks

DownThe18th – £0

Golf Monthly   – £0

Returning 12th January

3-2Hi everyone,

Firstly, we wish everyone a Happy New Year and hope you all enjoyed a good festive break. It was a much needed one for us!

But just a quick message to say we will be back previewing from next week for the Abu Dhabi HSBC and Sony Open in Hawaii events.

We’ve got a few exciting projects we are working on at DownThe18th and we’re progressing steadily month by month. It just means our time is limited for certain weeks.

We look forward to returning next week and losing, sorry – winning, you all a bit of money. With a few jokes about Monty and Patrick Reed along the way…

Thanks!